Fear of Missing Out with Oracle
| # | Name | Performance 7 days |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11,71% | |
| 2 | 16,31% | |
| 3 | 7,34% | |
| 4 | 14,92% | |
| 5 | 11,19% |
Database specialist has long been regarded as one of the big potential winners in the ongoing development of artificial intelligence (AI). After all, the company has huge amounts of data that need to be fed into AI in order to deliver the best possible results. This should pay off sooner or later, especially in the area of business software. It is therefore hardly surprising that the new US President Donald Trump also wants Larry Ellison's company on board for the recently announced “Stargate”, the world's largest AI infrastructure project to date. Together with Open AI and , Oracle as the founding company is to invest a total of 500 billion dollars in the coming years and build ten data centers for artificial intelligence in Texas as a first step. The Oracle share price rose significantly as a result. Even though sentiment was somewhat dampened at the end of the week, the stock still managed to post a weekly gain of almost twelve percent.
Trading-Sentiment:
The rise in the share price and probably the news situation have further increased the already quite clear buy overhang in Oracle on wikifolio.com in the past week. As the current trading sentiment shows, four out of five trades executed in the share were a buy. Armin Schulz, for example, added Oracle to his very broadly diversified wikifolio Alltag und Technik in the middle of the week, citing the “AI offensive in the USA ("Stargate")” as the reason.
With his focus on “technology companies and groups that invest in future technology”, he has so far increased the value of the portfolio he opened in mid-2015 by 147 %, reaching a new all-time high last week. On average for the year, the trader has thus achieved a price increase of a good ten percent. Over the whole year, the share price has even risen by almost 31 %.
Buying the Dip with Puma
| # | Name | Performance 7 days |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -20,60% | |
| 2 | -12,41% | |
| 3 | -5,72% | |
| 4 | -7,78% | |
| 5 | -6,10% |
Following the surprisingly strong 2024 results (well above consensus estimates) of competitor last Wednesday, clearly missed market expectations just one day later. Although the sporting goods manufacturer was able to increase earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) by 16 percent in the past quarter, at 109 million euros it fell noticeably short of the 131 million euros forecast by analysts. The stock market responded to this with massive falls in the share price. Since then, the share has lost more than a quarter of its market value. And this after the share price had already fallen by 12 percent last year. Overall, the share has been on a downward trend for over three years. Since then, shareholders who have stayed on board have recorded a loss of more than 72 %.
The Puma Management Board now wants to launch a new efficiency program and thus become more profitable again in the future. In the current financial year, growth is also expected to be stronger than in 2024, when bottom-line sales only increased by 2.5 %. The EBIT margin is set to rise from 7.1 % recently to 8.5 % by 2027 and to 10 % in the long term. Sounds confident, but still needs to be proven in practice.
Trading-Sentiment:
Many wikifolio traders have perhaps also taken advantage of the massive share price losses to enter Puma. A look at the trading sentiment shows the clear buyer overhang of 78 % over the past seven days. Some traders are at least betting on a technical recovery after the crash.
Like Thomas Schraner, who built up a small position in Puma for his wikifolio SK-S I love you on Friday: “After yesterday's punishment, I am adding the share to the wikifolio, as I think it was clearly too high. I expect a countermovement”. The model portfolio, which currently consists of 36 shares, three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and a good 30 percent cash, is based on chart-based analyses by the trader, who wants to invest in securities that show a “clear long-term trend”. Since the start a good ten years ago, he has achieved an average performance of 13.4 % per year (absolute: 262 %) with a maximum drawdown of around 37 %.
Taking Profit with Verbio
| # | Name | Performance 7 days |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11,25% | |
| 2 | 5,59% | |
| 3 | 6,02% | |
| 4 | 7,33% | |
| 5 | 5,35% |
, which operates in the bioenergy sector, is probably one of the biggest disappointments of recent years for many stock market players. The high hopes have still not been fulfilled. Instead, there has been a steady stream of bad news. The immense share price gains of the past have now been almost completely wiped out. The share, which was still traded as a penny stock in 2013, reached a level of around 88 euros twice in 2022 before it then crashed completely. In mid-January, the share price plummeted to below EUR 8.30, a drop of more than 90 % compared to the highs. This was the lowest level since May 2020.
The biofuel manufacturer had previously once again reduced its forecast for the 2024/25 financial year ending in June. The Group now only expects earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) in the mid double-digit million euro range, after previously forecasting a profit of between 120 million and 160 million euros. In addition to the persistently weak price environment, “unforeseen technical quality problems” at an existing plant in Nevada in the USA were cited as the reason for this.
Trading-Sentiment:
Last week, however, the share was able to post double-digit gains. This may have been due to the announcement that Verbio plans to build the world's first large-scale ethenolysis plant based on rapeseed oil methyl ester in Bitterfeld. Renewable specialty chemicals for sustainable detergents, lubricants and plastics are to be produced there from 2026. However, enthusiasm among wikifolio traders was limited. Too much trust seems to have been squandered here in the past. The current trading sentiment shows that many players have used the price recovery to exit.
This was exactly the case for Bernhard Streuer. The predominantly short to medium-term trader initially added the share to his wikifolio MEX Power Invest-breit gestreut after the price slide on wednesday and then sold the position just two days later with a quick profit of four percent. Streuer selects his investments based on technical indicators, among other things, including trend reversal formations. Will the trend at Verbio really turn upwards?
Jumping the Ship with Tesla
| # | Name | Performance 7 days |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -5,03% | |
| 2 | -7,10% | |
| 3 | -6,92% | |
| 4 | -16,74% | |
| 5 | -8,13% |
shares are considered one of the biggest beneficiaries of the recent change of government in the USA due to Donald Trump's friendship with Elon Musk. However, the relationship between the two does not appear to be quite so close after all. On the one hand, the 500 billion dollar artificial intelligence (AI) project “Stargate” announced by Trump has not gone down well with the Tesla boss, and on the other, the new president wants to completely abolish benefits for electric cars. Is this an early threat of conflict within the government, of which Musk is officially a member?
In Germany, meanwhile, many people are reacting with dismay to Musk's interference in the current election campaign, especially as he has made a specific election recommendation for the AfD on social media. As a result, the first German companies have already decided to do without new Tesla brand cars in future. German car manufacturers should be pleased.
Trading-Sentiment:
The wikifolio traders are almost traditionally divided into two camps when it comes to Tesla. This is also reflected in the current trading sentiment for the share. In recent days and weeks, there has been a slight selling overhang here, but over the year as a whole, buying predominates. Tesla remains the largest position in the Elliott Wave Trading Strategies wikifolio managed by Stephan Palm. However, he sold some of his holdings last week. Originally, he had targeted prices of a good 500 dollars in mid-December. However, the shares did not rise quite that high. After reaching a high of 490 dollars, it recently went downhill somewhat. The trader trades on the basis of an Elliott Wave trading approach and aims to “evaluate the price development of the corresponding underlying asset according to a fixed set of rules, both in terms of price and time”. Since October 2020, he has achieved an average increase in value of 22 % or a total of 130 %. Since the wikifolio certificate was issued in May 2022, it has risen by 23 %.
Disclaimer: Every investment in securities and other forms of investment is subject to various risks. Explicit reference is made to the risk factors in the prospectus documents of Lang & Schwarz Aktiengesellschaft (Final Terms, Base Prospectus together with supplements and the Simplified Prospectuses, respectively) at wikifolio.com , ls-tc.de and ls-d.ch. You should read the prospectus before making any investment decision in order to fully understand the potential risks and rewards of the decision to invest in the securities. The approval of the prospectus by the competent authority should not be construed as an endorsement of the securities offered or admitted to trading on a regulated market. The performance of the wikifolios as well as the respective wikifolio certificates refers to past performance. Future performance cannot be inferred from this. The content of this site does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. This applies in particular to countries in which such an offer to buy or sell is not permitted. For further information, please refer to our General Terms and Conditions.
